Intelligence on Iran

The current events in the Middle East are forcing us to write regularly about them. On this occasion, we have reviewed the intelligence efforts that the West (more some than others) has been carrying out to track nuclear programmes run by the Iranian regime. It offers a picture of successes and failures but it also produces an undeniable truth: Israel, the United States and the United Kingdom have the best intelligence available to the West on the country.

So, if we get rid of prejudices (whichever one has) and wear a coat of humility, we could be ready to see things under a different light. Enjoy.

The decades-long campaign by American and British intelligence (and Israeli) to monitor and disrupt the Iranian nuclear programme highlights a profound strategic paradox. Covert operations, cyber-sabotage, and recent kinetic bombings have successfully disrupted infrastructure and delayed Iran’s nuclear timeline by several years. However, military force and espionage cannot erase nuclear knowledge from a determined state. Because Iran retains its highly trained scientific base, decades of accumulated nuclear expertise, and a massive stockpile of 60 percent enriched uranium, the foundational threat of an Iranian nuclear weapon remains fundamentally unresolved.

Como nos gusta que el lector tenga criterio propio y tome sus propias decisiones, os dejamos aquí una discusión sobre este tema en el que damos ideas a favor y en contra de lo que dice nuestro análisis. Disfrútenlo y mantengan el espíritu crítico, tanto con nuestros análisis como con ustedes mismos. Cuestionese a sí mismo, sea valiente.